IMF warns Middle East war increases global financial risks

The IMF warns that Middle East conflict is driving up inflation. This pressure could strain private credit and AI sectors as global funding markets tighten.

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East is significantly elevating global financial stability risks. According to the IMF's latest Global Financial Stability Report, the war is generating inflationary pressures that could force funding markets to tighten, potentially straining non-bank financial institutions, private credit markets, and borrowers within the artificial intelligence sector. Since February, global equity prices have dropped by 8% while sovereign bond yields have surged, driven by rising energy costs and market expectations of persistent inflation. The conflict, which led Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz, has caused a notable spike in oil prices, specifically affecting benchmarks such as Brent Crude Oil and West Texas Oil.

Traders are seen on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York City during a session on April 13, 2026. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
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