Hefei manufacturing boom exposes limits of China policy

Hefeis high-tech manufacturing boom drives rapid economic growth through state investment but leaves local consumers struggling. Surging factory output and exports contrast sharply with weak retail sales and consumer confidence.

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Automated production line at a Fuyao Glass Group automotive glass factory during a government-organized media trip in Hefei, Anhui province, China May 19, 2026. Picture taken with a mobile phone. REUTERS/Kevin Yao

China's high-tech manufacturing hub of Hefei expanded 6.8% year-on-year in the first half of 2026, driven by a 25.6% surge in factory output. The state-backed economic model has propelled Hefei into the ranks of the country's fastest-growing cities. However, retail sales rose just 0.6%, creating a record 25-percentage-point gap between production and consumption.

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