China fourth quarter economic growth forecast to slow to three year low of 4.4 percent
China's economic growth is forecast to slow to 4.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025. Persistent domestic weakness remains despite record trade success.
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China 
CNis expected to report its weakest quarterly economic growth in three years for the final three months of 2025, according to a Reuters poll. The forecast projects gross domestic product expansion slowed to 4.4 percent year-on-year in the fourth quarter, down from 4.8 percent in the third quarter. This would represent the softest pace of growth since the final quarter of 2022. On a quarterly basis, the economy likely grew 1.0 percent in the period ending in December, a slight deceleration from the 1.1 percent growth recorded in the third quarter.
CNis expected to report its weakest quarterly economic growth in three years for the final three months of 2025, according to a Reuters poll. The forecast projects gross domestic product expansion slowed to 4.4 percent year-on-year in the fourth quarter, down from 4.8 percent in the third quarter. This would represent the softest pace of growth since the final quarter of 2022. On a quarterly basis, the economy likely grew 1.0 percent in the period ending in December, a slight deceleration from the 1.1 percent growth recorded in the third quarter.
