China Q1 GDP growth seen at 4.8 percent as war risks rise
China's economy likely expanded 4.8% in the first quarter on solid exports. However, economists warn the Iran war could slow full-year growth to 4.6 percent.
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China is expected to report a recovery in economic momentum for the first quarter of 2026, driven largely by resilient export performance. However, a Reuters poll of 50 economists suggests that growth may cool throughout the remainder of the year as geopolitical tensions involving Iran threaten to increase corporate costs and weaken global demand.
