China Economic Growth Predicted to Slow to 4.5 Percent in 2026
A Reuters poll projects China's growth will slow to 4.5 percent in 2026 amid structural challenges. The forecast follows a sluggish end to 2025.
Insights:
A Reuters poll of 73 economists indicates that the economic growth of China 
CNis projected to decelerate to 4.5% in both 2026 and 2027. This follows a 4.9% expansion in 2025, which met the government target of around 5% for that year. The expected slowdown is attributed to persistent structural vulnerabilities including a long property slump, weak domestic consumption, and deflationary pressures that continue to weigh on the world's second-largest economy.
CNis projected to decelerate to 4.5% in both 2026 and 2027. This follows a 4.9% expansion in 2025, which met the government target of around 5% for that year. The expected slowdown is attributed to persistent structural vulnerabilities including a long property slump, weak domestic consumption, and deflationary pressures that continue to weigh on the world's second-largest economy.
