WTO Upgrades 2026 Goods Trade Growth to 3.9 Percent
The WTO raised its 2026 global merchandise trade growth forecast to 3.9 percent as strong demand for artificial intelligence products helped offset disruptions from the Middle East conflict. However, the agency downgraded its services trade outlook due to higher aviation fuel costs.
The WTO upgraded its global merchandise trade growth forecast to 3.9% for 2026 on Thursday, driven by an artificial intelligence boom. This follows a previous baseline projection of 1.9% issued in March. The upward revision highlights how surging technology demand is reshaping international commerce despite ongoing geopolitical headwinds.
