South Korean Economy Returns to Growth in First Quarter

South Korean economy likely grew 1.0% in the first quarter driven by record chip exports. Economists warn that Middle East tensions may impact future growth.

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South Korea is expected to have returned to economic growth in the first quarter of 2026, driven by a surge in semiconductor exports and resilient domestic consumption. According to a Reuters poll of economists, Asia's fourth-largest economy likely expanded by 1.0% on a seasonally adjusted basis between January and March, rebounding from a contraction in the final quarter of 2025. On a year-on-year basis, gross domestic product is forecast to have grown 2.7%, a significant acceleration from the 1.6% recorded in the previous period.

The recovery is largely attributed to the technology sector, where exports surged in March after modest gains earlier in the year. Semiconductor exports reached a record $32.83 billion during the month, accounting for nearly 40% of the nation's total monthly exports. This growth was fueled by rising memory chip prices and robust demand for servers linked to artificial intelligence investments.

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