Russian Oil Production Remains Stable Despite Sharp Global Price Drop

Russian oil output fell 0.7 percent in 2025 while global prices dropped 18 percent. This stability persists despite oversupply and an OPEC+ steady output.

Insights:
Russian oil production exhibited a high degree of resilience in 2025, declining by just 0.7 percent to an average of 9.129 million barrels per day according to data released on Wednesday, January 14, 2026, by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. This stability occurred despite a turbulent year for global energy markets, where prices for Brent Crude Oil and Crude Oil WTI plummeted by more than 18 percent. This decline represents the steepest annual drop in oil prices since 2020, driven primarily by persistent concerns over global oversupply.
The maintenance of production levels in Russia RURUis particularly significant given the broader geopolitical and fiscal landscape. Oil and natural gas production continues to serve as a cornerstone of the federal budget, accounting for approximately one-quarter of all tax proceeds. This output was sustained even as Russiafaced ongoing drone attacks by Ukraine targeting its energy infrastructure, underscoring a structural disconnect between production stability and the weakening price environment.
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