RBI Warns Iran War-Led Energy Shock Clouds India's Outlook

The RBI warns that supply pressures and the Iran war-led energy shock cloud India's outlook. While demand is strong, officials are monitoring inflation risks.

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Insights:

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) must monitor supply-side pressures as conflict involving Iran creates energy price shocks. India faces a clouded economic outlook despite sustained domestic demand. Headline inflation remains within tolerance, but policymakers are watching how higher energy costs feed through to domestic prices.

### Domestic Demand Drives Growth High-frequency indicators from April show that domestic demand remains the primary engine for Indian economic growth. The RBI noted in its monthly report that consumption patterns remain resilient across most sectors. However, the RBI identified specific challenges in several industries that could hamper this momentum.

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