India Forecasts 2026 Monsoon Rains at 11-Year Low
India expects its weakest monsoon since 2015 with rainfall projected at 90 percent of the long-period average due to El Nino. The shortfall threatens crop yields and could push retail inflation toward 5.5 percent as the nation also manages energy cost pressures from the Middle East conflict.
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India forecast 2026 monsoon rains at 90% of the long-period average, the lowest level in 11 years. The figure dropped from an April estimate of 92% as the El Nino weather phenomenon weakens seasonal rainfall. Deficient rain threatens crop yields and could push retail inflation toward 5.5% from 3.48% in April.
