Egypt Economic Growth Forecasts Trimmed Amid War

Analysts have reduced Egypt's growth outlook to 4.6 percent for the current fiscal year as high energy prices fuel inflation. The central bank is expected to slow interest rate cuts to manage rising costs and currency pressure.

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Economic analysts have revised their growth projections for Egypt downward as the ongoing conflict involving Iran continues to exert pressure on global energy markets and domestic inflation. According to a recent Reuters poll of 12 economists, the median estimate for gross domestic product (GDP) growth has been adjusted to 4.6% for the current fiscal year ending in June, with a similar rate expected next year before potentially rising to 5.5% by 2027/28.

The Great Pyramids and the Cairo skyline captured during the spring of 2026. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany
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