Yen strengthens and global stock markets pause after soft US retail data

Global markets paused as the yen surged following Japan's election and soft U.S. retail data weighed on the dollar ahead of upcoming employment figures.

Insights:
Softer-than-expected retail sales data from the United States USUS and significant downward revisions to previous months have driven bond prices higher and sent benchmark yields lower, marking a shift in global market momentum on Wednesday. The primary trigger for the move was a 0.1% dip in core retail sales for December, alongside downward revisions to the October and November readings for U.S. retail sales data. This surprise data release pushed benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to a one-month low of 4.14% and coincided with a visible slowdown in the recent stock-market rebound.
The timing of the retail-sales surprise and its subsequent revisions was particularly significant as it occurred immediately before U.S. jobs data due the same day. These developments in the American market were mirrored by a shift in currency dynamics in Japan JPJP, where the Japanese yen experienced a multi-session rally of approximately 2.5%, altering currency dynamics globally. This strengthening of the yen followed the result of a national election and the victory of Sanae Takaichi. Market commentator Brent Donnelly noted the shifting environment as currency and bond markets reacted to the evolving economic landscape.
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