US Rare Earths Reliance to Persist

Despite surging domestic output and billions in new investments, the US will remain reliant on Chinese rare earths well into the next decade. The persistent trade imbalance looms large as President Trump prepares to meet Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping.

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Rare earth materials sit on displayed at the exhibition on China’s manufacturing achievements, at the National Museum in Beijing, China, March 24, 2026. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov

United States will remain reliant on China for rare earths into the 2030s, facing a rare earths imbalance as leadership meets on Thursday. Domestic output covers 42% of demand, leaving a heavy reliance on imports.

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