Economists Expect Fed Rate Hike This Week

Economists overwhelmingly expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a quarter percentage point this week. Firm inflation data and surging energy prices have shifted expectations toward further policy tightening.

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FILE PHOTO: A trader works, as a screen broadcasts a press conference by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh following the Fed rate announcement, on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York City, U.S., July 29, 2026. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

An 85% majority of economists expect the United States central bank to raise interest rates by a quarter percentage point to 3.75%-4.00% on Wednesday. The shift reverses a fragile no-change consensus that prevailed before official data showed firm inflation. Futures are pricing a 90% chance of a rate increase.

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