US CPI Rise in December Aligns with Expectations, Fed Likely to Hold Rates

The US Consumer Price Index rose by 0.3% in December, aligning with economist forecasts and bringing the 12-month rate to 2.7%. The data, unaffected by November's government shutdown distortions, suggests the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at its January meeting.

Insights:
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.3% in December, aligning with economist forecasts and pushing the 12-month inflation rate to 2.7%, according to the U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics. This reading, the first unaffected by the distortions caused by the November government shutdown, provides clarity on inflation trends, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its upcoming January meeting.
Shoppers browse at Zabar's supermarket in New York City, U.S., on November 26, 2025. REUTERS/Jeenah Moon/File Photo
Shoppers browse at Zabar's supermarket in New York City, U.S., on November 26, 2025. REUTERS/Jeenah Moon/File Photo
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