UK unemployment hits decade high as slowing wage growth fuels rate cut bets

Britain's unemployment rate rose to 5.2% in late 2025 while wage growth cooled to 4.2%. These figures have boosted investor bets on a March interest rate cut.

Insights:
Britain’s unemployment rate climbed to 5.2% in the final three months of 2025, while annual wage growth slowed to 4.2%, according to the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics released today, February 17, 2026. These developments have strengthened market expectations that the Bank of England will move to cut interest rates in March. The data indicates a cooling labour market that provides the central bank with reassurance regarding inflationary pressures ahead of its next policy decision.
FILE PHOTO: A Job Centre Plus sign is seen in central London, Britain, July 15, 2015. REUTERS/Toby Melville/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A Job Centre Plus sign is seen in central London, Britain, July 15, 2015. REUTERS/Toby Melville/File Photo
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