UK Payrolls Experience Largest Monthly Decline Since November 2020 as Wage Growth Eases

Official data published on January 20 shows a drop in UK payrolls and slowing wage growth. These cooling conditions support market expectations for interest rate cuts throughout 2026.

Insights:
Official data released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on January 20, 2026, indicates that the labor market in the United Kingdom GBGBcooled during the final month of last year. Payrolls declined by 43,000 in December 2025 compared to November 2025, marking the largest monthly fall since November 2020. This shift occurred as financial markets tracked the British Pound / US Dollar and UK Government Bonds (Gilts) for signs of a pivot in monetary policy.
Skyscrapers of the Canary Wharf commercial district are seen with The Shard building and construction cranes reflected in a perimeter glass wall of the viewing area of Garden at 120, in the City of London financial district, in London, Britain, September 23, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville
Skyscrapers of the Canary Wharf commercial district are seen with The Shard building and construction cranes reflected in a perimeter glass wall of the viewing area of Garden at 120, in the City of London financial district, in London, Britain, September 23, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville
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