Thailand's Export Growth Forecast to Slow to 2-4% in 2026

Thailand's National Shippers Council forecasts export growth to slow to 2-4% in 2026, a sharp decline from 12.6% in 2025. Concerns include foreign investment competition and slowing rice shipments.

Insights:
Thailand's National Shippers Council has projected a significant deceleration in export growth for 2026, forecasting an increase of just 2% to 4%. This marks a stark contrast to the robust 12.6% year-on-year growth achieved in the first 11 months of 2025. Exports are a cornerstone of Thailand's economy, and the anticipated slowdown raises concerns about the country's economic momentum.
A view of Bangkok's port along the Chao Phraya River is photographed during sunset in Bangkok, Thailand, on July 19, 2022. REUTERS/Athit Perawongmetha
A view of Bangkok's port along the Chao Phraya River is photographed during sunset in Bangkok, Thailand, on July 19, 2022. REUTERS/Athit Perawongmetha
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