Sri Lanka Rate Hike Risks Stalling Economic Recovery

Sri Lanka raised interest rates by 100 basis points to protect reserves. The move aims to curb inflation. Analysts warn it could slow the IMF-backed recovery.

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Sri Lanka raised its policy interest rate by 100 basis points to 8.75% on Tuesday, May 27. The surprise hike is the first in over three years, up from a previous 7.75%. Policymakers are prioritizing currency stability and reserve preservation as rising energy costs threaten a fragile IMF-backed recovery.

### Balancing Reserves Against Growth Risks The Central Bank of Sri Lanka's pivot follows a decline in foreign exchange reserves to $6.7 billion, down from $7 billion in late March. Current holdings cover 3.8 months of imports, leaving the economy vulnerable to external shocks. The Central Bank of Sri Lanka is attempting to meet strict primary surplus and inflation targets under a $2.9 billion IMF program.

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