Oil prices fall two dollars on supply surplus and weak demand forecasts

Crude futures fell today following an IEA report projecting a global supply surplus and slower demand growth. Easing geopolitical risks also weighed on prices.

Global oil prices fell by approximately $2 a barrel on Thursday after the International Energy Agency (SY:IEA) released its monthly forecast, which stated that global oil demand will rise more slowly than previously expected. The report, which also projected a sizeable surplus for the year, triggered an immediate decline of roughly 3 percent in the Brent crude benchmark (SY:BRENT) and the U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmark (SY:WTI). This price move reflects shifting supply-demand balances and immediate market reactions to inventory and geopolitical signals.
The downward pressure on the oil market/commodities sector (SY:OIL_MARKET) was further intensified by data showing a larger-than-expected build in U.S. crude inventories (SY:US_CRUDE_INVENTORIES). According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) (SY:EIA), inventories rose by 8.5 million barrels, a figure that significantly exceeded the 793,000-barrel increase anticipated by analysts. This inventory surge occurred as U.S. refineries (SY:US_REFINERIES) continue to adjust operations across the United States USUS.
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