Mexico maintains 2026 growth forecast at 1.8 to 2.8 percent

The finance ministry kept its 2026 growth estimate at 1.8% to 2.8% despite a 0.8% first-quarter contraction. This outlook remains unchanged from the budget.

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Mexico maintained its 2026 economic growth forecast between 1.8% and 2.8% during a late evening announcement on April 30. The finance ministry kept the target unchanged from its September budget proposal despite a 0.8% contraction in the first quarter. Investors are weighing the government's optimism against preliminary data showing the first quarterly decline in recent years.

Growth Targets vs. Q1 Contraction

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