S&P 500 recovery challenges sell in May market adage

Markets recovered from recent declines despite geopolitical tension. Strong earnings and momentum suggest the sell in May strategy may underperform in 2026.

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Insights:

Investors are questioning the "Sell in May" strategy after the S&P 500 Index recovered a 10% decline in 11 trading sessions following disruptions to global oil supplies. While historical May-to-October gains average 2% since 1945, the last decade delivered a more robust 7% average return. Abandoning equities now could cost investors gains, as a continuous investment since 2016 yielded $34,000 compared to lower cash returns.

Modern Momentum Defies Tradition

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