India December trade deficit narrows to 25.04 billion dollars as exports defy expectations

India reported a 25.04 billion dollar trade deficit for December. This result outperformed economist forecasts as the nation navigates new trade pressures.

Insights:
India ININrecorded a merchandise trade deficit of $25.04 billion in December 2025, according to government data released on January 15, 2026. This figure came in significantly lower than the $27 billion consensus forecast previously set by economists. The December results followed a merchandise trade deficit of $24.53 billion in November 2025. Merchandise exports for December reached $38.51 billion, an increase from the $38.13 billion recorded in November. Meanwhile, merchandise imports for the month stood at $63.55 billion, up from $62.66 billion in the preceding month.
The better-than-expected trade performance comes amid heightening global pressures after United States USUSPresident Donald Trump donald trumpraised tariffs on certain Indian goods to 50% in late August 2025. Despite these barriers, the export sector has shown resilience. Rajesh Agrawal rajesh agrawal, the Commerce Secretary of India, stated that exports to the United Stateshave grown on a year-on-year basis during the first nine months of the fiscal year. To mitigate the impact of external trade headwinds, Indiahas implemented a strategic push to diversify its exports toward China CNCN, Russia RURU, and the Middle East, supported by government incentives.
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