FILE PHOTO: Vessels at the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, October 2, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo

The global oil market will return to a surplus of 1.7 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter as Middle East exports recover, the International Energy Agency said on Friday morning. The turnaround follows earlier supply deficits caused by disruptions from the conflict in Iran.