El Nino Threatens Colombian Coffee

Colombian coffee growers face greater risks from the developing El Nino weather pattern than from a recent earthquake. Production is expected to drop 8% this year due to adverse weather and heavy rains.

Ruben Salgado, 35, a coffee picker, holds coffee berries growing on a plant, at the plantation of an affected coffee farm in the aftermath of an earthquake, in Quimbaya, Colombia, August 14, 2026. REUTERS/Luisa Gonzalez

Colombia's coffee harvest will drop 8% to 12.5 million bags this year due to heavy rains and El Niño, dodging major damage from an August earthquake. Output falls from 13.7 million bags in 2025 as weather disruptions pressure global supply. The drop threatens farmer margins already squeezed by a surging local currency and rising production hurdles.

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