Economists expect Fed rate hold through May while warning of loose policy under Kevin Warsh
Economists expect the Fed to hold rates until June while warning that nominee Kevin Warsh may be too loose. Concerns also remain over future Fed independence.
Insights:
A recent Reuters poll of economists indicates that a majority expect the Federal Reserve to keep its policy rate unchanged through May and to begin cutting in June. The survey results, released today, February 11, 2026, also highlight significant concerns regarding the potential impact of President Donald Trump's nominee, Kevin Warsh, on the future of the US 
US economy. The poll found that a majority also believe Kevin Warsh would be more likely to set policy too loose, a sentiment that is shaping near-term expectations for national fiscal strategy.
US economy. The poll found that a majority also believe Kevin Warsh would be more likely to set policy too loose, a sentiment that is shaping near-term expectations for national fiscal strategy.
