Democrats Lead Polls Ahead of November Midterms
National polls and prediction markets indicate Democrats hold a significant advantage over Republicans heading into the November midterm elections. Voters will decide control of both chambers of Congress on November 3.
Democrats hold a 7.9 percentage point advantage nationally ahead of the November 3 midterm elections, according to RealClearPolling data released Friday morning, October 9, 2026. The national ballot average shows Democrats leading Republicans 49.8% to 41.9% as campaigns enter their final month across the United States. Control of both congressional chambers hangs in the balance, threatening to alter the legislative agenda of President Donald Trump's second term.
