Citi predicts summer peace deals will drive oil prices lower after near term geopolitical support

Citi expects Brent to fall to sixty dollars by summer as peace deals involving Russia and Iran ease tensions. Near term prices remain supported by sanctions.

Insights:
Analysts at Citigroup Inc. have assessed that diplomatic pressure from the United States USUS to secure peace deals involving Russia RURU and Iran IRIR has provided support for oil prices in the near term. According to the bank, while these geopolitical negotiations are currently buoying the market, potential resolutions reached later this year could eventually exert downward pressure on crude prices. This assessment highlights the critical link between high-stakes international diplomacy, U.S. sanctions enforcement, and global oil supply, pricing, and OPEC+ production responses.
Miniatures of oil barrels and a rising stock graph are seen in this illustration taken January 15, 2024. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
Miniatures of oil barrels and a rising stock graph are seen in this illustration taken January 15, 2024. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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