China gains ground in Bangladesh while relations with India hit new lows before national vote

China is boosting its footprint in Bangladesh through new deals as relations with India sour. Voters head to the polls this week amid shifting regional power.

Insights:
China CNCN has intensified its diplomatic outreach and investment in Bangladesh BDBD just days before the nation heads to the polls on February 12, 2026. This surge in activity includes a recently announced defence deal between the two nations to construct a drone factory, a move that signals deeper security cooperation. The timing of these developments is significant, occurring as the country prepares for a national vote following the 2024 ouster of Sheikh Hasina, an event that has led to a cooling of relations between Dhaka and India ININ. This matters because deeper engagement between Dhaka and Beijing, coupled with deteriorating relations with New Delhi, has potential consequences for trade, transit, security cooperation, and regional diplomacy.
People chant slogans during an election campaign rally for candidate Mamunul Haque, head of the Bangladesh Khelafat Majlis, ahead of the national election in the Mohammadpur area of Dhaka, Bangladesh, on February 9, 2026. REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain
People chant slogans during an election campaign rally for candidate Mamunul Haque, head of the Bangladesh Khelafat Majlis, ahead of the national election in the Mohammadpur area of Dhaka, Bangladesh, on February 9, 2026. REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain
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