China expects modest recovery in LNG imports as global supply increases

Analysts expect China to increase LNG imports this year as falling global prices stimulate demand. Economic headwinds will likely keep levels below 2024 peaks.

Insights:
Analysts are forecasting that liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports into China CNCN will increase by 3% to 10% in 2026. This projected rise, which would bring import volumes to approximately 70.5 to 75.5 million metric tons, comes as a global supply upswing is expected to lower spot prices and as domestic consumption for power generation and transport grows. This market-driven shift follows a rare 10% decline in the country’s LNG imports recorded in 2024.
FILE PHOTO: A model of an LNG tanker is displayed in front of the Chinese flag in this illustration taken on May 19, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A model of an LNG tanker is displayed in front of the Chinese flag in this illustration taken on May 19, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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