Canadian dollar drops to 11-day low as cooling inflation fuels rate cut hopes

The loonie hit an 11-day low today as cooling inflation boosted hopes for a Bank of Canada rate cut. Lower oil prices also weighed on the currency's value.

Insights:
Canada CACA reported that its annual inflation rate slowed to 2.3% in January from 2.4% in December, a development that has immediately altered market expectations for the Bank of Canada. The data, released on February 17, 2026, prompted investors to increase the probability that the central bank could resume cutting interest rates this year. Following the announcement, the Canadian dollar weakened to an 11-day low against the United States USUS dollar, while yields in the Canadian bond market fell as investors reassessed the outlook for national monetary policy.
A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto, January 23, 2015. REUTERS/Mark Blinch (CANADA - Tags: BUSINESS)
A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto, January 23, 2015. REUTERS/Mark Blinch (CANADA - Tags: BUSINESS)
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