Brazilian Coffee Growers Forecast Mixed 2026 Yields

Brazil's coffee growers predict stable arabica yields but declining canephora output in 2026, creating mixed signals for global markets.

Insights:
Brazilian coffee growers have released preliminary forecasts for their 2026 harvests, revealing divergent expectations for the country's two primary coffee varieties. Arabica producers anticipate yields to match or slightly exceed those of 2025, forecasting productivity between 28 and 32 sacks per hectare, compared to 26 sacks last year. Meanwhile, canephora growers in Espirito Santo predict a decline in yields due to the biennial off-year production cycle.
FILE PHOTO: Coffee grower Lucas Venturim holds robusta coffee beans at his farm shop in Sao Domingos do Norte, Espirito Santo state, Brazil, on September 23, 2025. REUTERS/Alexandre Meneghini/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Coffee grower Lucas Venturim holds robusta coffee beans at his farm shop in Sao Domingos do Norte, Espirito Santo state, Brazil, on September 23, 2025. REUTERS/Alexandre Meneghini/File Photo
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