Bond Investors Warn Fed Pause Risks

Global bond markets face potential turmoil as investors warn that holding interest rates steady could cause a deeper selloff and drive long-term borrowing costs higher. While a rate hike would boost costs, analysts argue pausing risks undermining central bank credibility on inflation.

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FILE PHOTO: U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh holds a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), as the Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady, at the Federal Reserve, in Washington, D.C., U.S. July 29, 2026. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein/File Photo

United States bond markets face a pivotal test this week as investors weigh a likely Fed rate hike against warnings that standing pat could trigger a deeper selloff. Markets currently price in a 76% chance of a quarter-point increase following stronger-than-expected August inflation and jobs data.

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