Bank of Japan debated faster rate hikes as oil costs rise

BOJ policymakers debated further rate hikes as Middle East conflict raises oil costs. A March meeting summary shows concerns about falling behind on inflation.

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Policymakers at the Bank of Japan recently discussed the potential for further interest rate hikes as surging energy costs, driven by conflict in the Middle East, intensify inflationary pressures. According to a summary of opinions from the March policy meeting, the central bank is closely monitoring how these external factors influence price stability within Japan.

A pedestrian walks past the Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, in early 2025. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo

The summary indicated that some board members are concerned about the risk of falling behind the economic curve if policy adjustments are not made in a timely manner. One member suggested that the bank might need to accelerate its pace of tightening to address the second-round effects of rising global oil prices.

There is a risk the BOJ may unintentionally fall behind the curve, since second-round effects and rise in underlying inflation stemming from overseas developments are more likely to emerge.

Although the Bank of Japan kept rates steady during its March session, it maintained a bias toward tighter monetary policy. The institution warned that geopolitical tensions and their impact on energy markets remain a primary concern for the outlook of underlying inflation.

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