Đồng USD ổn định khi kỳ vọng chiến tranh Iran sớm kết thúc

Đồng đô la Mỹ duy trì đà ổn định trong phiên giao dịch thứ Tư khi nhu cầu trú ẩn an toàn bắt đầu hạ nhiệt. Diễn biến này diễn ra sau khi Tổng thống Hoa Kỳ Donald Trump đưa ra nhận định rằng cuộc xung đột với Iran có thể sớm kết thúc, mặc dù các tín hiệu mâu thuẫn vẫn khiến giới đầu tư thận trọng.

Chỉ số Đồng đô la Mỹ, thước đo sức mạnh của đồng bạc xanh so với rổ các loại tiền tệ lớn, đã giảm nhẹ 0,03% xuống mức 99,70. Trong khi đó, đồng Euro đã tăng 0,21% so với đô la, đưa tỷ giá EUR/USD lên mức 1,1576, mức cao nhất trong hơn một tuần qua.

Tại thị trường châu Á, đồng Yên đã phục hồi từ mức thấp nhất trong năm là 160,46 đổi một đô la, vượt qua ngưỡng tâm lý quan trọng 160 vốn từng gây lo ngại về sự can thiệp từ các cơ quan chức năng Nhật Bản. Tỷ giá USD/JPY hiện ổn định ở mức 158,55 sau khi khảo sát Tankan của Ngân hàng Trung ương Nhật Bản cho thấy niềm tin của các nhà sản xuất lớn đã cải thiện, bất chấp những bất ổn từ Trung Đông.

Đồng bảng Anh cũng ghi nhận mức tăng 0,21%, đưa tỷ giá GBP/USD lên 1,3247. Mặc dù đồng đô la đã hưởng lợi từ vị thế trú ẩn an toàn kể từ khi xung đột bùng phát vào cuối tháng 2, nhưng các chuyên gia cho rằng tác động của cuộc chiến đối với các yếu tố kinh tế cơ bản vẫn chưa có sự thay đổi rõ rệt.

Kyle Rodda, nhà phân tích thị trường tài chính cấp cao tại Capital.com, nhận định về tình hình hiện tại: > Mặc dù các tiêu đề tin tức đã tạo ra một bước nhảy vọt cho các tài sản rủi ro, nhưng tình trạng của cuộc chiến và tác động của nó đối với các yếu tố cơ bản vẫn chưa thay đổi đáng kể và các chuyển động qua đêm có khả năng nhanh chóng đảo ngược.

Về mặt địa chính trị, Tổng thống Trump cho biết chiến dịch quân sự chống lại Iran có thể kết thúc trong vòng hai đến ba tuần tới. Tuy nhiên, các báo cáo từ Wall Street Journal lại cho thấy những kế hoạch chưa rõ ràng về việc mở lại eo biển Hormuz. Trong khi đó, Bộ trưởng Quốc phòng Hoa Kỳ Pete Hegseth cảnh báo rằng những ngày tới sẽ mang tính quyết định và xung đột có thể gia tăng nếu không có thỏa thuận nào được ký kết.

Sự chú ý của thị trường hiện đang đổ dồn vào báo cáo việc làm tháng 3 của Mỹ dự kiến công bố vào thứ Sáu. Các nhà kinh tế dự báo sẽ có thêm 60.000 việc làm, một sự cải thiện so với mức giảm 92.000 trong tháng 2. Nếu thị trường lao động suy giảm mạnh, kỳ vọng về việc cắt giảm lãi suất của Cục Dự trữ Liên bang có thể quay trở lại.

Ở các thị trường khác, đồng đô la Australia tăng 0,35% với tỷ giá AUD/USD đạt 0,6924. Đồng đô la của New Zealand cũng tăng 0,19%, đưa tỷ giá NZD/USD lên 0,5756. Trong lĩnh vực tiền điện tử, Bitcoin giảm nhẹ 0,03% xuống còn 68.177,08 USD, trong khi Ethereum giảm 0,08% xuống mức 2.103,76 USD."}```​of_thought: 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