US Midterm Betting Surges on Polymarket and Kalshi

Betting on US midterm elections has surged significantly on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. Traders have wagered over $220 million this cycle, raising concerns among advocacy groups over insider trading and the integrity of democratic processes.

US President Donald Trump exits the stage following a midterm campaign event in San Antonio, Texas, US, October 7, 2026. REUTERS/Callaghan O'Hare     TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY

Traders have wagered more than $220M on United States congressional midterm election prediction markets so far this cycle, more than double the entire 2024 volume. This rapid expansion highlights a disruptive new financial technology intersecting with the democratic process. Critics warn the betting threatens election integrity and invites insider trading, while platforms defend the markets as accurate indicators of public sentiment.

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