UK grocery inflation falls to 3.1 percent in May

British grocery inflation slowed to 3.1% in the four weeks to May 17, marking the lowest rate since late 2024. While retailers increased promotional activity to support shoppers, analysts warn that the full impact of the Iran conflict has yet to reach supermarket shelves.

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United Kingdom grocery inflation fell to 3.1% during the four weeks ending May 17, the lowest rate since December 2023. The data shows a slowdown from the 3.8% increase recorded in the previous month. Investors are monitoring whether this cooling trend persists before the full impact of the Iran conflict reaches supermarket shelves.

### Shifting Consumer Behavior and Price Drivers Grocery sales rose 1.5% by value over the four-week period, though Worldpanel by Numerator noted this indicates shoppers are purchasing fewer items. Prices climbed fastest for chocolate confectionery and fresh fish, while costs for butter, sugar confectionery, and household paper declined.

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