Russian Oil and Fuel Revenues Rebounded to $19 Billion

Russia's oil and fuel export revenues nearly doubled to $19 billion in March as prices surged. The IEA noted that seaborne shipments offset pipeline closures.

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Russia experienced a significant recovery in its oil and fuel export revenues during March, reversing a sharp decline seen in February. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the rebound was primarily fueled by surging global prices for Brent Crude Oil linked to geopolitical tensions involving Iran. These commodity revenues remain a critical component of the state budget, particularly as military expenditures continue to rise. The IEA reported that export revenues from crude and refined products nearly doubled, reaching $19 billion in March compared to $9.75 billion the previous month. Crude oil exports alone climbed by 270,000 barrels per day (bpd) to reach 4.6 million bpd. This growth was largely driven by higher seaborne shipments, which compensated for the continued closure of the Druzhba pipeline. Flows through the Druzhba pipeline to Hungary and Slovakia across territory in Ukraine have remained shut since late January following attacks on infrastructure. Despite these logistical constraints, Russian crude production increased to 8.96 million bpd last month, up from 8.67 million bpd in February. However, the agency warned that Russia may struggle to sustain or increase production levels beyond those seen in the early first quarter. This assessment follows repeated drone strikes targeting Baltic and Black Sea ports and refineries, which have caused substantial damage to critical energy infrastructure.

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