Private credit quality continues to decline as downgrades hit new highs this month

Morningstar DBRS reports that private credit downgrades reached a new peak this month. The outlook for 2026 remains negative due to rising debt and defaults.

洞察:
Morningstar DBRS has reported a measurable deterioration in private credit quality within the US USUS, noting that the proportion of downgrades reached a new high in February. According to the firm's latest market-driven analysis, downgrades outpaced upgrades by a ratio of 3.3-to-1, while default rates climbed to 4%, a significant increase from the 3.2% recorded one year earlier. This trend highlights growing credit and liquidity risks for private credit lenders at a time when market volumes are expanding despite limited public disclosure.
U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 19, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 19, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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