Economists Forecast Federal Reserve Hold as Political Pressure Mounts
A Reuters poll shows 100 economists expect the Federal Reserve to maintain current rates through the first quarter of 2026. Economic growth remains strong.
洞察:
A recent poll of 100 economists conducted between January 16 and January 21, 2026, reveals a unanimous expectation that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at 3.50%-3.75% during its upcoming meeting on January 27-28. This consensus marks a significant departure from previous sentiment in the United States 
US, with 58% of respondents now forecasting no rate changes through the first quarter of 2026. This represents a sharp reversal from last month’s poll, which indicated expectations for at least one rate reduction by March.
US, with 58% of respondents now forecasting no rate changes through the first quarter of 2026. This represents a sharp reversal from last month’s poll, which indicated expectations for at least one rate reduction by March.
