CFTC Asserts Power to Police Prediction Market Trading

The CFTC says it can police prediction markets after Kalshi flagged insider trading. The agency also asserts exclusive jurisdiction over state regulators.

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The United States[Country:{ "assets":{ "country":"US" } }] Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has formally asserted its authority to regulate illegal trading practices within prediction markets. This announcement follows a disclosure from Kalshi, a leading event-contract platform, which recently flagged two potential cases of insider trading to the federal regulator.

The exterior signage of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission located in Washington, D.C. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

The CFTC stated it maintains comprehensive jurisdiction to police misconduct in event market contracts, citing Kalshi's decision to freeze accounts related to the suspected insider trading incidents. Concerns regarding the integrity of these rapidly growing markets have been escalating. Earlier this month, a senior official from the Justice Department highlighted the sector as an area ripe for federal enforcement.

Jurisdictional tensions are rising as state gaming regulators also seek to oversee these markets, which compete with traditional casinos and sports betting firms. In a recent court filing, the CFTC argued that it holds exclusive authority over such platforms, further escalating its legal battle with state authorities.

Entities registered with the CFTC are generally responsible for monitoring their own markets for misconduct and are required to report suspicious activity to the agency. While the regulator has clarified its enforcement powers, neither the CFTC nor Kalshi have provided additional details regarding the ongoing cases.

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