US private credit defaults rise on software sector risks

Analysts warn of rising defaults in US private credit due to software sector risks. Major firms saw shares fall after Blue Owl capped fund withdrawals today.

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The United States private credit sector is facing a period of heightened borrower defaults, as analysts warn that heavy exposure to the software industry could lead to significant financial strain. While a systemic crisis is not currently anticipated, the rapid growth of this once-favored Wall Street trade is expected to moderate as artificial intelligence disrupts core portfolio companies.

Market volatility intensified after BLUE OWL CAPITAL INC placed limits on the amount of capital investors can withdraw from two of its retail-oriented funds. This decision caused the firm's shares to drop as much as 8.6%, reaching a record low. The ripple effect was felt across the alternative asset management space, with APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT INC, BLACKSTONE INC, ARES MANAGEMENT CORP - A, and KKR & CO INC all experiencing initial declines before broader market recovery helped pare those losses. Collectively, these investment giants have lost approximately $132 billion in market value so far this year.

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