Indian Rupee Expected to Hold Narrow Range Despite Trade Pact Boost and Historic Single Day Gains

A Reuters poll shows the rupee will trade in a narrow range despite a trade pact announcement. Forecasts follow the currency's largest one-day gain since 2018.

洞察:
President donald trump of the USUS announced a trade pact with ININ to reduce tariffs on Indian goods from 50 percent to 18 percent. This announcement triggered the largest one-day gain for the Indian rupee since December 2018, as the currency rose 1.36 percent against the dollar on Tuesday. While the news boosted sentiment, a Reuters poll of 27 foreign exchange strategists conducted between February 3 and February 4, 2026, suggests the currency is expected to remain within a narrow range over the coming months rather than fully reversing its recent losses.
A cashier displays the new 2,000 Indian rupee banknotes inside a bank in Jammu, November 15, 2016. REUTERS/Mukesh Gupta/File photo
A cashier displays the new 2,000 Indian rupee banknotes inside a bank in Jammu, November 15, 2016. REUTERS/Mukesh Gupta/File photo
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