India Warm March Forecast Risks Wheat and Rapeseed Yields

India is likely to record one of its warmest Marches on record, with above-average temperatures forecast in key wheat and rapeseed-growing states. This climatic shift could potentially cut yields for the world's second-largest wheat producer and biggest importer of edible oils. The country has been counting on bumper 2026 crops to export surplus wheat and reduce costly imports of palm, soy, and sunflower oils. However, higher temperatures during the crucial grain-filling and maturity stages may trim overall production that was previously expected to reach record highs.