German recession risk jumps amid Iran conflict

The IMK institute reports the probability of a German recession rose to 33.5 percent today. Higher energy costs and supply issues are clouding the outlook.

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The economic outlook for Germany has darkened significantly as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East exert pressure on global energy markets and supply chains. According to a study by the Institute for Macroeconomics and Economic Research (IMK), the probability of the nation entering a recession during the second quarter has surged to 33.5%, a sharp increase from the 11.6% recorded in early March.

The Frankfurt banking district skyline at dusk, representing the financial heart of Europe's largest economy. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo
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