Fed Officials Signal Potential Rate Hikes on Inflation

Federal Reserve policymakers indicated on Friday that interest rates may need to rise if energy shocks from the Iran conflict cause persistent inflation. While some officials prefer current levels, rising price data and supply chain distortions have led several members to consider further tightening measures.

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United States Federal Reserve officials signaled potential interest rate hikes beyond the current 3.50%-3.75% range as Middle East conflict risks persist. The April PCE price index jumped to 3.8% from 3.5% in March. Rate cuts that markets had anticipated later this year now appear unlikely.

Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman told a conference in Iceland on Friday, May 29, that energy shocks from the Iran conflict could alter her policy outlook. She noted that persistent disruptions through the second half of the year may broaden inflationary effects and said she would consider shifting her balance of risks assessment if price pressures do not subside.

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