Eurozone Interest Rates Expected to Hold Steady at Two Percent Through Next Year Following Reuters Poll
New Reuters poll findings show the European Central Bank will maintain current interest rates through 2026. Growth forecasts remain stable despite recent risks.
洞察:
A Reuters poll of 83 economists conducted between January 20 and January 22, 2026, indicates that the European Central Bank is expected to maintain its deposit rate at 2% at the upcoming meeting on February 5, 2026. This stability in monetary policy comes as a growing consensus among financial experts suggests that interest rates will remain unchanged throughout the entirety of 2026. Around 85% of those surveyed, representing 67 of 79 respondents, now expect no change in rates for the year, a significant increase from the 75% who held this view in December and the two-thirds recorded in November.
While the immediate path is one of continuity, accounts from the European Central Bank (ECB) December meeting released on Thursday show that a majority of 36 respondents believe the next policy move from the Governing Council will eventually be a rate hike rather than a cut. This outlook is supported by inflation in the European Union 
EU, which currently sits at 1.9%. Forecasters expect inflation to average slightly below the official 2% target throughout 2026 before accelerating back to that mark next year. Investors tracking the Euro to US Dollar and Euro Zone Government Bonds have noted that these stable expectations reflect a cooling of immediate volatility.
EU, which currently sits at 1.9%. Forecasters expect inflation to average slightly below the official 2% target throughout 2026 before accelerating back to that mark next year. Investors tracking the Euro to US Dollar and Euro Zone Government Bonds have noted that these stable expectations reflect a cooling of immediate volatility.
