EU Ministers Warn of Stagflation and Fiscal Risks

European finance ministers and the ECB warned that generous fiscal support could trigger a debt crisis or higher interest rates as growth slows to 0.9 percent. Officials emphasized that measures must remain temporary and targeted to avoid contradicting monetary policy during the energy price shock.

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European Union finance ministers warned that the euro zone faces a stagflationary trend, with 2026 growth slowing to 0.9% as inflation hits 3.0%. This outlook compares to 1.3% growth and 1.9% inflation in 2025, driven by energy price shocks from the war in Iran. Investors face a dual threat of decade-high bond yields and potential ECB rate hikes if fiscal spending remains untargeted.

ECB Warns Against Fiscal Loosening

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