Trump Tariffs Had Minimal GDP Impact and Raised Revenue

A Brookings paper finds 2025 tariffs had a minimal impact on GDP while raising 264 billion dollars. The study also noted a continued U.S. decoupling from China.

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A recent study published by the Brookings Institution indicates that the aggressive tariff policies enacted by the United States during the past year resulted in a minimal shift in national economic output. The academic paper, which examined the short-term consequences of these trade barriers, found that the net impact on the economy ranged from a slight increase of 0.1% to a decrease of 0.13% of GDP, depending on how domestic demand responded to price changes.

Cargo containers are piled at the Port of Oakland in California, following a judicial decision on executive tariff powers. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Photo
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